(Thunderstorm Outlook per SPC, Saturday Afternoon)
May has been relatively quiet in terms of severe weather for the Southern Plains, but that will change soon. Starting Saturday afternoon, thunderstorms will develop along a cold-front/dryline in Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northwest Texas.
Instability, shear, and moderate moisture will allow thunderstorms to become severe. Hodographs in Oklahoma/southern Kansas will support supercells; likely high-based, though. The main threat will be very large hail Saturday afternoon.
Thunderstorm chances will slowly spread southeast Sunday into Monday. This event is still a couple days out, so a lot can change. We will continue to keep you all updated on the latest.
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