Good afternoon Texoma! Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible today across the area. These thunderstorms will be isolated in nature, but the ones that develop will be extremely damaging; with hail larger than grapefruit size, 70-80mph winds, and an isolated tornado, along the Red River, are all possible.
(This is the severe weather outlook, per SPC; notice most of Texoma is included in this outlook. Dallas-Fort Worth, Wichita Falls, Norman-OKC, and southern Tulsa are all at risk.)
At this hour there is a strong CAP in place which will limit storm coverage this afternoon. The CAP will weaken as temperatures warm into the mid/upper 90's, coupled with 70-74 degree dewpoints, which will lead to CAPE values at or above 5000 J/KG in some areas!! CAPE values that high will allow for extremely large hail and damaging winds. There will be a small opportunity for isolated tornadoes this evening once the cold front pushes into the Red River Counties. The boundary could allow for the LCL to lower which will allow for this enhanced tornado opportunity during the evening hours.
(Tornado threat today, per SPC. Again, the best chance for an isolated tornado is along the Red River!)
We will have updates throughout the afternoon on this evolving situation. Please stay alert today because once storms form they will quickly become severe!
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