Thunderstorm chances are on the increase, starting Saturday afternoon; eastern Texas Panhandle, Oklahoma Panhandle, and western Oklahoma will have a chance to see isolated severe storms Saturday. Moisture will be on the increase as a strong shortwave moves across the Southern Plains producing isolated severe thunderstorms along the dryline. Parameters (moisture, shear, instability) are coming together to support supercell thunderstorms. Right now, it appears there will be a chance for all modes of severe weather Saturday afternoon.
(Saturday's severe weather probabilities per SPC. This will be updated daily, and I believe a slight risk will be included. Severe thunderstorm chances will likely be expanded eastward too.)
Thunderstorm chances will continue into Sunday and Monday. Each day the thunderstorm threat will shift further east-southeast. A cold front will push into Oklahoma, likely stalling, igniting thunderstorms Sunday and Monday. Heavy rainfall will also be a concern in southern Oklahoma and north Texas. This is needed due to our recent dry-spell across Texoma.
In the meantime, get outside and enjoy the delightful weather. Temperatures will push into upper 80's, some locations will break the 90 degree mark. Relative humidity will be on the increase each day making the afternoon hours uncomfortable for some. Drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen!
This event is still a few days out, so a lot can change. We will continue to have updates on this evolving situation.
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