Good Afternoon, I hope everybody is having a fantastic Christmas! The cutoff low that was supposed to move across Texoma Saturday actually stalled, then retrograded to the west. This erratic movement is what reduced our chances of snow this weekend. If the system would have moved overhead the temperatures aloft would have been cold enough for a light dusting of snow. Yesterday several areas did receive sleet throughout the day, but the temperatures at the surface were too warm and the precipitation wasn't heavy enough for any accumulations. Parts of west Texas and the Panhandle, however, did have cold enough temperatures, where the low was located, and in return are enjoying a white Christmas. Picture--Courtesy James Hale
The low is currently located near the Panhandle of Texas and is cutoff from the main flow, but will eventually begin to move eastward tonight. Here are the snow totals from the Lubbock region; these totals prove how potent this system is.
As the low moves overhead tomorrow evening/overnight there will be some precipitation developing. Most of this precip will be rain, but on the backside a well developed trowal could come to fruition per models. If this were to happen some parts of southeastern Oklahoma and northeast Texas could see a light rain/snow mix. I'm waiting for the 18Z models to come in then I'll have an update on the possibility of the trowal development and its implications on the forecast.
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